News Bear Volatility: 4/5

US Core CPI Rises More Than Expected in August

September 11, 2026 · bloomberg · 90% confidence
Summary

US Core CPI rose more than expected in August, bolstering case for Fed rate hike next week.

AI Analysis

Hotter core CPI raises Fed hike odds, pushing yields higher and discount rates up. This pressures equity valuations, especially growth/tech, while banks may benefit from steeper curve. Net bearish for S&P 500.

Direction
Bear
Volatility
4/5 - High
AI Confidence
90%
Affected Stocks
JPM BAC WFC C AAPL MSFT NVDA TSLA AMZN
Likely Winners
JPM (JPMorgan Chase) BAC (Bank of America) WFC (Wells Fargo) C (Citigroup)
Likely Losers
AAPL (Apple) MSFT (Microsoft) NVDA (Nvidia) TSLA (Tesla) AMZN (Amazon)
Suggested Action

Short SPY or buy SPY put options to hedge broad market downside from hawkish Fed.

Recommended Actions
  • Short SPY or buy SPY put options to hedge broad market downside from hawkish Fed.
  • Add XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR) to benefit from higher net interest margins.
  • Underweight QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust) as growth stocks face higher discount rates.
  • Buy TLT put options or short TLT as rising yields pressure long-duration bonds.
  • Monitor 10-year Treasury yield (TNX) for confirmation of rate expectations.

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